The Pharoan Lookout No. 002 (Oct 7, 2026)

reminder to self, that what I'm seeking is sometimes seeking me.

The Pharoan Lookout
No. 002 · Oct 7, 2026 Buying · Selling · Renting
BIGGS ORCA TIME?
Talal Pharoan

Orca vocalizations aside, the real action this week is in the numbers. I ran the stats on Ballard and Green Lake, and the market's telling a quieter, steadier story than you'd expect. Here's what's actually happening out there.

Leases are expiring soon, and decisions have to be made.
Leases are expiring soon, and decisions have to be made.
By the numbers

Field report: Ballard and Green Lake stats

Walked ballard and green lake this week and the board is busy. Right now there are 520 active listings and 178 pending, plus 92 new ones landed in the last seven days. Sellers are feeling it too, 47 price cuts went out across the board in that same week.

On the house side, 273 sold in the last 90 days at a median of $1,045,000, typically gone in 7 days. 32% went over asking, 36% under. Compared with a year ago, that's fewer sales and prices down 2.8%, but homes are moving faster. Compared with three years back, more sales, prices up 6.6%, though it's taking a bit longer to close now.

Townhomes tell a slower story. 151 sold in 90 days, median $759,000, sitting 21 days before going under contract. Only 9% sold over asking, 42% under. That's fewer sales and lower prices than both a year ago and three years ago, and it's taking longer each time you look back.

Bottom line, houses are holding their ground better than townhomes right now in this corner of the map.

What's mine worth?

a real number from me, not a Zestimate

   
The report

The Ballard + Green Lake Report

HousesTownhomes
MEDIAN$1.04M$759K
VS 1 YR↓ 3%↓ 3%
VS 3 YRS↑ 7%↓ 7%
DAYS ON MKT721
OVER ASKING32%9%
UNDER ASKING36%42%
SALES, 90 DAYS273151
NEW THIS WEEK92 listings, 47 price cuts
ON MARKET520 active, 178 pending
SOLD5bd in Green Lake, 5 days, $271K over
RATEWATCHmy lender friends are quoting 7.28 on a 30-yr this week. on a $750K loan that pencils to about $5,150 a month.

90-day windows ending Oct 4. Source: NWMLS.

Conditions
SUNRISE7:15am ↑
SUNSET6:38pm ↓
DAYLIGHT11 hr 23 min
MOONwaning crescent
AIRModerate, AQI 59
WEATHERpartly sunny, high near 68.
WATER TEMPLake Washington 60°. swimmable if you are brave.
Around Here
PETS
A reader's pet A trained, quiet 2.5-year-old Australian Shepherd mix is looking for a yard here in Seattle.
Northwest Pulse
🐋 Biggs orcas were audible Monday on the Andrews Bay hydrophone, so listeners near Port Townsend might tune in for their vocalizations around that time.
☀ Monday's UV index peaks at 3 near Port Townsend, moderate enough that you can spend a few hours outside without special sun protection.
🐻 Heads up: a black bear was reported near Issaquah recently (verified on iNaturalist). Keep pets and trash secured.
Deal of the week

10124 3rd Ave NW

6 bd · 2,640 sq ft · $899K (cut 5%) · 66 days

With townhomes sitting 21 days and prices softening, this one's built to ride it out: two kitchens, room for 6 to 12 occupants. In a slower market, that kind of flexibility is worth a look.

See it →

Listing courtesy of eXp Realty

   
Come find me

Khao Soi Na Chiang Rai

This Friday, I'll be grabbing Thai food. It seems like the big go-to is braised beef, but honestly, my last experience with Thai food led me to realize they have amazing vegetarian options.

Featured neighbor

A neighbor worth knowing

Carlos is one of the best custom builders I know in this market. Every home he puts up shows it, he builds for quality over quantity, and it shows in how those houses hold up and sell. If you're thinking about building, I'm happy to connect you with him.

This week

Happenings

WED OCT 7 | Conscience
Taproot Theatre at 2PM
WED OCT 7 | Aaron Lee Tasjan
Tractor Tavern at 8PM
Nectar Lounge at 9:30PM
Nectar Lounge at 7PM

SeatGeekSome event data from SeatGeek

See the whole calendar · Submit an event you think people should know about.

The Upcoming List

Homes I know are coming up for rent before they hit the market. Readers see them first. Some never list anywhere else.

Open this week's list →  this link is yours, it changes with every letter

Where the letter goes next

The Route

One area a week. Not Ballard + Green Lake? Yours is coming.

Bellevue: East Bellevue ✕, West Bellevue Oct 14

Snohomish: Snohomish ✕

Seattle: Beacon Hill + SODO ✕, Ballard + Green Lake (this week), Central Seattle Nov 4

Skyway: Skyway ✕

Shoreline: Shoreline Oct 21

North Bend + Snoqualmie: The Valley Oct 28

Kirkland: Kirkland + Juanita Nov 11

Don't see your area? Reply and tell me where you live.

SELLING   what's it worth
BUYING   let's start with coffee
LEASING IT OUT   the seven-day launch
RENTING   the upcoming list
BUILDING   reply, I know people
◆

Talal

P.S. If you're curious what this month did to your home's value, reply with your address. I'll send you a real number, no strings.
Talal Pharoan Talal Pharoan, John L Scott Broker
425.230.6655 · pharoan.com

· No. 002 ·
See you out there.