The Pharoan Lookout
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BIGGS ORCA TIME?
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Orca vocalizations aside, the real action this week is in the numbers. I ran the stats on Ballard and Green Lake, and the market's telling a quieter, steadier story than you'd expect. Here's what's actually happening out there.
Leases are expiring soon, and decisions have to be made.
By the numbers
Field report: Ballard and Green Lake stats
Walked ballard and green lake this week and the board is busy. Right now there are 520 active listings and 178 pending, plus 92 new ones landed in the last seven days. Sellers are feeling it too, 47 price cuts went out across the board in that same week.
On the house side, 273 sold in the last 90 days at a median of $1,045,000, typically gone in 7 days. 32% went over asking, 36% under. Compared with a year ago, that's fewer sales and prices down 2.8%, but homes are moving faster. Compared with three years back, more sales, prices up 6.6%, though it's taking a bit longer to close now.
Townhomes tell a slower story. 151 sold in 90 days, median $759,000, sitting 21 days before going under contract. Only 9% sold over asking, 42% under. That's fewer sales and lower prices than both a year ago and three years ago, and it's taking longer each time you look back.
Bottom line, houses are holding their ground better than townhomes right now in this corner of the map.
What's mine worth?
a real number from me, not a Zestimate
The report
The Ballard + Green Lake Report
| Houses | Townhomes |
| MEDIAN | $1.04M | $759K |
| VS 1 YR | ↓ 3% | ↓ 3% |
| VS 3 YRS | ↑ 7% | ↓ 7% |
| DAYS ON MKT | 7 | 21 |
| OVER ASKING | 32% | 9% |
| UNDER ASKING | 36% | 42% |
| SALES, 90 DAYS | 273 | 151 |
| NEW THIS WEEK | 92 listings, 47 price cuts |
| ON MARKET | 520 active, 178 pending |
| SOLD | 5bd in Green Lake, 5 days, $271K over |
| RATEWATCH | my lender friends are quoting 7.28 on a 30-yr this week. on a $750K loan that pencils to about $5,150 a month. |
90-day windows ending Oct 4. Source: NWMLS.
Conditions
| SUNRISE | 7:15am ↑ |
| SUNSET | 6:38pm ↓ |
| DAYLIGHT | 11 hr 23 min |
| MOON | waning crescent |
| AIR | Moderate, AQI 59 |
| WEATHER | partly sunny, high near 68. |
| WATER TEMP | Lake Washington 60°. swimmable if you are brave. |
Around Here
| PETS |
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A trained, quiet 2.5-year-old Australian Shepherd mix is looking for a yard here in Seattle. |
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Northwest Pulse
| 🐋 |
Biggs orcas were audible Monday on the Andrews Bay hydrophone, so listeners near Port Townsend might tune in for their vocalizations around that time. |
| ☀ |
Monday's UV index peaks at 3 near Port Townsend, moderate enough that you can spend a few hours outside without special sun protection. |
| 🐻 |
Heads up: a black bear was reported near Issaquah recently (verified on iNaturalist). Keep pets and trash secured. |
Deal of the week
10124 3rd Ave NW
6 bd · 2,640 sq ft · $899K (cut 5%) · 66 days
With townhomes sitting 21 days and prices softening, this one's built to ride it out: two kitchens, room for 6 to 12 occupants. In a slower market, that kind of flexibility is worth a look.
See it →
Listing courtesy of eXp Realty
Come find me
Khao Soi Na Chiang Rai
This Friday, I'll be grabbing Thai food. It seems like the big go-to is braised beef, but honestly, my last experience with Thai food led me to realize they have amazing vegetarian options.
Featured neighbor
A neighbor worth knowing
Carlos is one of the best custom builders I know in this market. Every home he puts up shows it, he builds for quality over quantity, and it shows in how those houses hold up and sell. If you're thinking about building, I'm happy to connect you with him.
This week
Happenings
Some event data from SeatGeek
See the whole calendar
· Submit an event you think people should know about.
The Upcoming List
Homes I know are coming up for rent before they hit the market. Readers see them first. Some never list anywhere else.
Open this week's list →
this link is yours, it changes with every letter
Where the letter goes next
The Route
One area a week. Not Ballard + Green Lake? Yours is coming.
Bellevue: East Bellevue ✕, West Bellevue Oct 14
Snohomish: Snohomish ✕
Seattle: Beacon Hill + SODO ✕, Ballard + Green Lake (this week), Central Seattle Nov 4
Skyway: Skyway ✕
Shoreline: Shoreline Oct 21
North Bend + Snoqualmie: The Valley Oct 28
Kirkland: Kirkland + Juanita Nov 11
Don't see your area? Reply and tell me where you live.
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Talal
P.S. If you're curious what this month did to your home's value, reply with your address. I'll send you a real number, no strings.
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Talal Pharoan, John L Scott Broker 425.230.6655 · pharoan.com |
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See you out there.